One can see a horrendous mess in every direction, but we should be looking more at France just at the moment. They may be our favourite enemy but they don’t deserve the shambles their elite has landed them in, and besides, hundreds of thousands of Brits live there and our relations are very important.
If Hollande wins, he will surely bankrupt the country. There are comments below about the folly of govt spending being over 50% of GDP. Well, France’s is already 56%, and that tends to RISE in a recession as govt income falls and benefits go up. Despite this, Holland is promising to “create” tens of thousands more jobs and there is little sign of any commitment to freeing up business from the horrendous bureaucracy and “job-protection” which actually DESTROYS jobs.
He will also renegotiate the fiscal pact leading to a crisis with Germany AND one of confidence on the part of the loan sharks who (BY OUR OWN FAULT, NOT THEIRS) we are in hock to. This would surely lead to a collapse of the euro but Germany would leave the euro first rather than be sucked down by the moribund – oder?
If Sarko wins, he is so detested by the left and lots of others there will surely be civil strife as he has to either impose even harsher austerity OR see the French economy in freefall – given their high debt and govt spending. Cutting back France’s govt spending is going to be extremely painful as it involves sacking loads of civil servants.
The lunacy of nearly FORTY YEARS of living beyond their means thanks to German EU dosh is coming round to hit them. I really can’t see any way out except post-war austerity and misery plus a large dose of civil disorder. Can anyone else?
The elephant in the corner is extremism rising out of all this; it’s not as if we haven’t seen this phenomenon before …….